Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Stunning Fact: Every 8 Years The Electorate Changes Approximately 30% Or By 48 Million People

Every 4 years about 3 million people age into the voting group and 3 million Americans pass away.  In the space of just 4 years, the voting age population changes by 24 million and by an incredible 48 million or about 30% in 8 years.

Demographic changes in the American family are not the only thing that matters in elections by any means.  But they are the single, biggest force in American politics.

2 comments:

  1. Hi John,

    I think you are double-counting in this case, by counting both the new voters and the deceased ones. As an example, if you had a class of 25 students and "Tiffany" was replaced by "Justin" you would have only changed 1/25 of the class, not 2/25's.

    Looking at it another way, to achieve a full 100 per cent turnover of the electorate at your rate of 30 per cent every eight years would take 3 1/3 eight-year periods, or about 26 years. I'm sure the average voter votes for more than 26 years in his or her lifetime.

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  2. Perhaps you are right. But I don't think so but will check it out. There are 311 million people living in America. If you assume a life expectancy of 80 years and even distribution of population in each age cohort that would mean close to 4 million people in each year of the 80. I believe about 3 million people become 18 each year and about 3 million die each year.

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